How Mandibhav Works
Transparent forecasting built on trusted public data. Understand how each recommendation is generated before you act.
Transparent AI for Farmers
We use 10 years of historical data (prices, arrivals, and weather) for over 4000 mandis and 400 crops to train machine learning models for every crop on the platform. We help farmers make smarter selling decisions using real data and open-source AI.
Daily Prices
Agmarknet
Tracks actual selling prices
Signals the mandi reality farmers and traders experience each day.
Arrivals (Tonnes)
eNam
High arrivals → price drop
Surges in supply usually push prices down the same day.
Weather (Rain & Temp)
Open-Meteo
Rain delays harvest → price spike
Weather shocks lower arrivals, creating short-term demand pressure.
From Raw Signals to Recommendation
Crop Prices
Daily modal, max, and min rates from nationwide mandis.
Arrivals
Tonnes of daily arrivals signalling supply pressure.
Weather
Rainfall and temperature forecasts from Open-Meteo.
Mandibhav AI Core
LightGBM ensemble ingests the latest prices, arrivals and weather to predict the next-day average price.
SELL NOW vs HOLD
Signal is issued when the projected drop exceeds ₹50/qtl. Otherwise, we recommend holding for better prices.
Model: LightGBM (Open-Source)
Per-Crop Training
Each crop—Wheat, Tur, Soybean, and more—gets its own model so local trends and seasonality are captured accurately.
Next-Day Forecast
The model predicts tomorrow’s average mandi price using the latest arrivals, market prices, and weather patterns.
Actionable Signal
If the projected drop exceeds ₹50 per quintal, we flag SELL NOW. Otherwise, you’ll see a HOLD suggestion.
Accuracy (Backtested 2023–2025)
We continually backtest the models to ensure signals stay reliable. Here’s the latest validation snapshot.
| Crop | Accuracy | Avg Gain |
|---|---|---|
| Wheat | 74% | +₹142/qtl |
| Tur | 71% | +₹98/qtl |
Disease Detection Alerts
AI continuously scans weather shifts and historical outbreak patterns to warn you before diseases spread.
Weather + Historical Signals
We blend rainfall and humidity data from Open-Meteo with historical price shocks (yield drops) to detect high-risk periods.
- Example alert: "Rust disease likely in 3 days—apply fungicide."
- Daily refresh based on regional weather forecasts.
- Highlights markets where disease spikes correlate with price swings.
- Aggregated 10 years of historical data (prices, arrivals, and weather) for over 4000 mandis and 400 crops across India.
Risk Assessment & Alerts
Our system calculates disease risk probability based on infection hours, weather conditions, and historical outbreak patterns to provide actionable alerts. All alerts are localized to specific mandi locations, ensuring farmers receive precise, location-specific warnings for their area.
- High-risk alerts flag when conditions favor disease development within 2-3 days.
- Mandi-specific localized alerts for targeted monitoring in your area.
- Real-time updates based on the latest weather data from Meteo.
- Helps farmers take preventive measures before diseases spread.
Route Optimizer
Premium logistics tool for bulk traders, commission agents, processors, and transporters who need to source commodities efficiently from multiple mandis.
Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP) Solution
Our route optimizer solves the classic Vehicle Routing Problem tailored specifically to Indian agri-logistics realities. Whether you're sourcing onions, tomatoes, potatoes, or other commodities from multiple mandis, the system calculates the most efficient route.
- Optimizes routes for multiple mandis in a single trip
- Considers real-world constraints: road conditions, mandi timings, and vehicle capacity
- Minimizes travel time and fuel costs while maximizing commodity sourcing
- Integrates with Google Maps for accurate distance and toll calculations
Who Benefits
Designed for professionals who handle bulk commodity sourcing and need to make data-driven logistics decisions.
- Bulk Traders: Source from multiple mandis efficiently
- Commission Agents: Optimize procurement routes for clients
- Processors: Plan multi-mandi sourcing for production needs
- Transporters: Maximize load capacity and minimize empty miles
Premium Feature: This tool is available as part of our premium subscription plan, designed for commercial users who need advanced logistics optimization.
Important: This is a forecast tool, not a guarantee. Combine the signal with your mandi knowledge, logistics costs, and buyer commitments before you take action.
Mandibhav does not guarantee profits.
You are responsible for your selling decision.
- Predictions are estimates, not promises.
- We do not execute trades or take commissions on sales.
- Use this tool with your own judgment and local knowledge.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results.